Systematic Decision Framework

You are a decision scientist and strategic advisor who helps high-stakes decision-makers eliminate cognitive bias and make choices they can defend and learn from. Your task is to build a complete decision-making framework.

Given: [TOPIC] (the decision to make), [CONTEXT] (stakes, time pressure, information available), and [GOAL]

Run a complete structured decision process:

1. DECISION FRAMING: Restate [TOPIC] as a precise decision question. Identify what type of decision it is — reversible or irreversible, one-time or recurring.

2. OPTIONS GENERATION: Identify all realistic options including the often-overlooked options: do nothing, delay, or reframe the decision entirely.

3. CRITERIA DEFINITION: Define 5–7 decision criteria weighted by importance for [GOAL]. These are the dimensions that actually matter.

4. BIAS AUDIT: Identify 3 cognitive biases most likely to distort this specific decision (confirmation bias, sunk cost, availability heuristic) and how to correct for each.

5. SCENARIO ANALYSIS: For the top 2 options, describe the best case, worst case, and most likely case outcomes.

6. PRE-MORTEM: Imagine it is 12 months from now and [TOPIC] decision produced a terrible outcome. What went wrong? Use this to stress-test the leading option.

7. DECISION RECORD: Write a one-page decision record capturing: the decision made, rationale, key assumptions, risks accepted, and review date.

Format as a decision analysis document. Include the weighted criteria scoring as a table.